Premier League Betting Tips And Predictions
Premier League betting tips and predictions, including score predictions and tips for this weekend and other Premiership betting advice
By James McMath
The Premier League is the most famous sports league on planet Earth for good reason - its high level of play, world-class players and coaches, and its network of iconic stadiums make it irresistible to fans the world over.
Let’s take a look at Premier League betting tips and predictions in more detail so you can improve your confidence on betting on the English top flight, formerly known as the Premiership.
Premier League History And Statistics
The Premier League was founded in 1992 as a means to give the long-suffering English game a better reputation and more funding.
Manchester United won the first two Premier League titles and cemented their reputation as the most powerful force in the country. Throughout the 90s, 2000s, and early 2010s, the Red Devils would scoop up 13 of the first 20 seasons, with Arsenal, Blackburn Rovers, Chelsea, and Manchester City being the only other teams to win it during this time.
Title Statistics
In the first thirty years of the Premier League (1992-2022) the division had seven winners, four of which won the title on numerous occasions:
- Manchester United (13)
- Chelsea (5)
- Manchester City (5)
- Arsenal (3)
The three one-time winners of the division are:
- Blackburn Rovers (1994/95)
- Leicester City (2015/16)
- Liverpool (2019/20)
Other Statistics
- Most points in a season - Manchester City (100, in 2017/18)
- Fewest points in a season - Derby County (11, 2007/08)
- Highest outright goalscorer - Alan Shearer (260)
- Most Assists - Ryan Giggs (162)
How Often Is The Premier League Trophy Retained?
The Premier League is a famously tough and physically demanding league, sometimes resulting in a title-challenger (or winner) having fluctuating fortunes in the following seasons.
When looking for Premiership betting tips, it's useful to know your history. The Premier League trophy has been retained on the following occasions:
- Manchester United (1992/93, 1993/94) (1995/96, 1996/97) (1998/99, 1999/2000, 2000/01) (2006/07, 2007/08, 2008/09)
- Chelsea (2004/05, 2005/06)
- Manchester City (2017/19, 2018/19) (2020/21, 2021/22)
In the first 30 EPL seasons, only three clubs have managed to keep hold of the trophy for successive seasons. Manchester United were the only club from 1992-2022 to win three titles in a row, doing so on two occasions.
The data tells us that back-to-back titles is an unlikely occurrence, though this certainly doesn’t mean that it isn’t possible. As Premier League owners get wealthier and wealthier, the more likely a hegemonic league becomes.
Making Premier League Predictions This Weekend
Finding good Premier League betting tips can be difficult due to the league’s propensity for shock results and last-minute comebacks.
However, you’re unlikely to get anywhere without research, so be sure to be as up-to-date as possible with areas like:
Premiership betting tips: Home and Away Records
Most Premier League squads do not have the depth of the top sides, and will need to make the most out of marginal advantages if they wish to thrive in the division.
Home games are particularly important as the added boost from the fans can help turn a game, or a performance, around completely. In fact, between 2015/16 and 2019/20, the home team won 45.8% of games played.
Chelsea had a particularly strong home record in the mid-to-late 2000s, going 86 games without defeat. Liverpool and Manchester City also developed fearsome reputations at Anfield and the Etihad respectively, whereas Manchester United’s home performances faltered in the late 2010s and early 2020s.
Before you bet on a Premier League game, be sure to research the team’s recent home record. Statistics tell us that home advantages are certainly a real phenomenon, but as we know anything can happen in the English top flight.
Derby Day Can Change Everything
The Premier League is home to a host of emotionally-charged derbies, from the rivalry between Brighton and Crystal Palace to the fierce battles between Manchester United and Liverpool.
Derby day brings a new edge to Premier League fixtures and tends to discard statistical trends. For example, if Liverpool has a much stronger squad than Manchester United, then you’d be tempted to bet on them to win comfortably. However, the heightened sense of drama the fixture brings can make mistakes, red-cards, and own-goals more common and could lead to Liverpool taking a more defensive approach.
One of the most famous rivalries in English football is between Arsenal and Tottenham Hotspur. The North London derby often brings an abundance of goals with plenty of penalties and late drama, regardless of how each respective team is faring at the time.
Arsenal were once considered the best team in the country, but even their Invincibles couldn’t help but concede 4 goals to mid-table Tottenham in late 2004.
Derbies can be a when looking to make Premier League predictions, but the emotion involved in these games makes them popular with punters regardless.
Premier League Transfer Betting
The embarrassment of riches in the Premier League makes expensive transfers common and transfer betting popular. The £3 million paid to Nottingham Forest for Roy Keane back in 1993 was big money at the time, yet the fee certainly wouldn’t be enough for the services of a top-class midfielder today.
A successful transfer window can completely rejuvenate a club and can make a previously-discounted team a sudden formidable force. Most punters would have backed Newcastle United to finish rock-bottom in 2021/22, but a £100 million outlay in January, following a change in ownership, transformed their fortunes.
New signings can either hit the ground running (like Jurgen Klinsmann or Erling Haaland) or they can be disastrous. The £50 million paid by Chelsea for the services of Fernando Torres backfired immeasurably, as did Liverpool’s sudden £35m-splash for Englishman Andy Carrol.
Perhaps the most infamous case of a club throwing money at their problems was Fulham in 2018/19, where the club endured a miserable season despite splurging almost £100 million on new players.
Premier League Betting Tips Summary
When making Premier League predictions, it’s all about conducting adequate research into home and away records, transfers, and the statistical trends of those who win the title.
The most famous league in the world is such due to its unpredictability, making Premiership betting tips hard to come by but great entertainment.
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