EFL Cup Betting Tips: Carabao Cup Predictions
Carabao Cup predictions: Advice on finding reliable EFL Cup Betting Tips
By James McMath
The famous EFL Cup (currently known as the Carabao Cup) dates back to 1960 and is played by all 92 teams of the English Football League. Running from August to February, the competition is one the most sought-after domestic cups in world football.
It may not be as iconic as the FA Cup, but winning the EFL Cup is still a fantastic achievement. If you wish to bet on this tournament, then here’s a roundup with all the information you need to know.
If you follow our EFL Cup betting tips, then you’ll be in a strong position to place wagers on the competition, and, hopefully, win some money from it. Let’s begin.
How To Bet On The EFL Cup
Betting on the EFL Cup takes a competent understanding of the competition, who its past winners are, and which teams tend to do well in it.
Before you make your EFL Cup predictions, make sure you’re well-versed in its history. In fact, one of the best Carabao Cup betting tips we can offer you is to know the competition like the back of your hand before it begins. That way, you can learn to expect the unexpected and only make bets if you believe there’s a good chance they’ll come to fruition.
EFL Cup Past Winners
If we look at the past EFL winners from the 2015-16 season to the 2021-22 season, we see that Premier League clubs tend to reign supreme.
- 2015-16 winners - Manchester City
- 2016-17 winners - Manchester United
- 2017-18 winners - Manchester City
- 2018-19 winners - Manchester City
- 2019-20 winners - Manchester City
- 2020-21 winners - Manchester City
- 2021-22 winners - Liverpool
There is a complete domination of Premier League clubs during this time, including four consecutive victories for Manchester City. In fact, the only other club to win the EFL Cup from 2016 to 2021 was Manchester United, meaning that the famous trophy stayed in Manchester for 5 years before Liverpool’s victory.
The last EFL Cup winner from outside the top-flight was Sheffield Wednesday, who beat Manchester United in the 1991 final. In the thirty years since, the Premier League (or First Division) has attained a clean-sweep of EFL Cup victories.
Championship and League One sides do sometimes reach the final, however, the strength of the top-flight squads tends to prove too much for them to handle.
Therefore, if you’re betting on EFL Cup outright winners, then the stats tell us that you should back a team from the top-flight. As much as the public loves an underdog winner, that data suggests this doesn’t really happen.
Shock victories do happen in the Carabao Cup, however, these tend to take place during the early rounds, and not the twilight stages.
Who Has Won The Most EFL Cups?
Liverpool and Manchester City are the two most successful teams in EFL Cup history. The Merseyside club won its first EFL Cup in 1981, whilst the Sky Blues first tasted EFL Cup success way back in 1970.
Know The Top Scorers
If you’re betting on the top scorer market, then it’s vital that you know the statistical trends behind it.
To help clear things up, here’s a rundown of the EFL top scorers from the 2015-16 season to the 2021-22 season:
- 2015-16 EFL Cup top scorer - Kevin De Bruyne (Man City)
- 2016-17 EFL Cup top scorer(s) - Zlatan Ibrahimovic, Daniel Sturridge (Manchester United, Liverpool)
- 2017-18 EFL Cup top scorer(s) - Josh Murphy, Samuel Sáiz, Islam Slimani (Norwich City, Leeds United, Leicester City)
- 2018-19 EFL Cup top scorer - Gabriel Jesus (Man City)
- 2019-20 EFL Cup top scorer - Liam Boyce (Burton Albion)
- 2020-21 EFL Cup top scorer(s) - Tristan Abrahams, Sébastian Haller (Newport County, West Ham)
- 2021-22 EFL Cup top scorer(s) - Marcus Forss, Eddie Nketiah (Brentford, Arsenal)
As we can see, the vast majority of the EFL top scorers at this time hailed from Premier League clubs, despite them playing less games than their Football League counterparts.
If you wish to place a bet on the competition's top scorer, then your best bet is to back the Premier League players.
Know The Team News
No matter how strong a squad is, injuries or suspensions to their best players can have a massive impact on their capacity to achieve victories.
If you’re considering placing a high-stake bet on a latter-stage EFL Cup game, then it’s vital you check the team news before kick-off, as you may no longer fancy a team if their star player is absent.
Some Premier League clubs prefer to field a second-string XI for EFL Cup games, and this can easily reduce their win probability.
Markets To Bet On
Like any other football competition, there are several betting markets you can explore during the EFL Cup season. We’ve already covered outright winners and top scorers, so here are some other betting avenues for you to wander down.
Betting On Who Reaches The Final
Betting on the outright winners is one thing, but you can also place bets on who reaches the final. Odds in this market are often high, but they can pay off handsomely should your predictions be true. You can also bet on who finishes in the runners-up position if you’re so inclined.
Individual Match Bets
Much like FA Cup betting, the EFL Cup is a fertile ground for shock victories and dramatic comeback victories. If you feel that a giant-killing is on the cards during an EFL match, then you can make individual match bets to predict the winner.
You can also place bets on shots on target, corners, offsides, yellow cards, assists, and red cards during a game if you wish.
EFL Cup Betting Tips Summary
The EFL Cup may not be as prestigious as other trophies, but its place in English football history is undisputed. Betting on the competition should be approached like any other as you should prioritize research and level-headed decision making over emotionally-charged predictions.
If you follow the steps outlined in this guide, then you’ll be well on your way to EFL Cup betting success.
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