Midnite

Serie A Winner Odds 2026/27

Italian Serie A winner odds for 2026/27, with Inter Milan favourites for the Scudetto, plus who the contenders are and how the market settles.

By Ben Cullen, Head of Risk at Midnite

28 Jul 2026

Last updated: 28/07/2026


Inter Milan are 1/1 to win Serie A, which in a twenty-club league is about as emphatic as a pre-season favourite gets, with Napoli at 9/2 and Juventus and AC Milan both 5/1 behind them. The Italian top flight gets going on 22nd of August, and what they're all chasing is the Scudetto, named after the little shield the champions get to wear on their shirts for the following season.


Odds correct as of 27 July 2026.


Serie A winner odds 2026/27

Club
Odds
Inter Milan
1/1
Napoli
9/2
Juventus
5/1
AC Milan
5/1
Roma
10/1
Atalanta
33/1
Como
40/1
Lazio
80/1
Bologna
100/1
Fiorentina
150/1
Udinese
350/1
Torino
350/1
Sassuolo
500/1
Genoa
500/1
Cagliari
750/1
Parma
750/1
Venezia
1000/1
Lecce
1000/1
Frosinone
1000/1
Monza
1000/1

The market closes on 22 August, when the season starts. Prices move until then.


Head to our Serie A outrights to place your bet.


Who are the favourites to win Serie A?

Serie A is a tricky one to call. Inter are always a dominant force, but there are enough big clubs here with the means to challenge that all it takes is a coach who clicks or a couple of players having a breakout season and the whole thing turns.


Inter at 1/1 come into it well rested, because a lot of their big names didn't feature at the World Cup after Italy failed to qualify. They've lost plenty of experienced players over the summer, though you could argue most were bit-part by the end, and they've gone for a more youth-focused recruitment strategy this year, which is always a risk.


Napoli at 9/2 will have been disappointed not to go back to back after the heroics of 24/25, but nobody was stopping Inter. Scott McTominay has a huge role to play, turning the loans of Højlund and Milinkovic-Savic permanent looks shrewd, and they haven't lost anyone major. A couple more quality additions and they're challenging again.


Juventus at 5/1 feel ready to take this league by storm. They've got all the right pieces and now just need to put them together, having freed up a substantial wage bill with Vlahovic and Kostic going and made Boga and Openda permanent. It feels more a mentality problem than a personnel one.


AC Milan are level with Juventus at 5/1 and Roma at 10/1 are the last side taken properly seriously, and then it drops off a cliff.


Atalanta at 33/1 is where that cliff lands, and their problem is the one it always is: hanging on to the players who do well for them. Marco Palestra has already gone to Chelsea this summer and Charles De Ketelaere may follow, which would leave holes in key positions.


Their recruitment has been savvy for years, but it relies on buying young, developing and selling, and with European football on top that's a strategy which can backfire quickly. Como at 40/1 are the curiosity, having climbed out of the lower divisions on unusual backing.


How Serie A winner betting works

The outright market pays out on whoever finishes top, across twenty clubs and thirty-eight games between August and May, and that's the whole mechanic. Where each-way terms are offered your bet splits in two, half on the club winning outright and half on them placing, with the place half settling at a fraction of the odds across a set number of positions. Those terms vary between markets, so it's worth reading the ones attached rather than assuming they match something you've seen elsewhere.


One thing worth knowing if you go comparing Serie A odds around the internet, because you'll see plenty of pages turning them into percentages. Those percentages aren't quite what they look like. Every price has the bookies' cut built into it, ours as much as anybody's, so converting one straight into a percentage gives you the market's opinion with the margin still sitting inside it rather than a clean read on a club's actual chances. Treat a short price as a strong opinion rather than a probability and you won't go far wrong. Our odds explainer covers how prices get built, and everything here settles on the final Serie A table in May.


Do Serie A favourites usually win?

There's no published record of how often the pre-season favourite goes on to lift the Scudetto, in this league or most others, so anyone offering you a number has estimated it. What the league's own record does show is how the title has actually moved, which is the more useful thing anyway.


Juventus won nine in a row from 2011-12 to 2019-20, the longest run of consecutive titles in any of Europe's major leagues. Then it stopped, and the six seasons since have produced three different champions: Inter three times, Napoli twice and Milan once, with nobody managing to retain it. [Source: Lega Serie A roll of honour.]


Worth being clear about what that does and doesn't tell you. It describes how the title has moved between clubs. It says nothing about whether the market picked any of those champions before the season started, which is a different question and one nobody has the data to answer properly.


What it does support is the sense that this is a league where the top can shift. A coach who clicks, or a couple of players having the season of their lives, has been enough more than once in the last six years.


Frequently asked questions

Who is favourite to win Serie A in 2026/27?

Inter Milan are 1/1, ahead of Napoli at 9/2 and Juventus and AC Milan at 5/1. Odds correct as of 27 July 2026.


How much money do you get for winning Serie A?

Winning the Scudetto brings prize money and a guaranteed Champions League place, and the European qualification is worth substantially more than the domestic prize.


What is the Scudetto?

The Serie A title. The name comes from the small shield in the Italian colours that the reigning champions wear on their shirts the following season.


Who is favourite to win the Champions League in 2026/27?

PSG are 5/1, with Bayern Munich at 6/1 and Arsenal at 13/2. Inter Milan, the Serie A favourites, are 28/1. Odds correct as of 27 July 2026.


Serie A winner odds at Midnite

Serie A sits alongside the Premier League, the Championship, La Liga, the Bundesliga and Ligue 1 on the football outrights page.


A title bet placed in July does not settle until May, so treat the stake as money parted with for the season rather than money in play. Deposit limits and reality checks are in your account settings, and the Responsible Play page explains what each does. 18+, please gamble responsibly. Midnite is licensed and regulated by the Great Britain Gambling Commission.


About the author

Ben Cullen is Head of Risk at Midnite, where he leads the team that prices the markets and manages the sportsbook's exposure. He has spent 12 years in trading and risk, previously at Ladbrokes Coral, ComeOn and KingMakers. He writes here on how betting markets are actually built, priced and settled. Connect with Ben on LinkedIn.

Midnite Logo
Download on the App Store
Get it on Google Play

Payment Methods

Play Responsibly

Midnite is operated by Dribble Media Limited for customers in Great Britain, licensed and regulated by the Great Britain Gambling Commission (Account No. 42647 ) and Midnite Europe Limited for customers in Ireland, licensed by the Irish Revenue Commissioner (Licence No. 1019666 ).

Dribble Media Limited is incorporated under the laws of England and Wales, with Company Registration No.09555672, and registered address at 86-90 Paul Street, London, EC2A 4NE United Kingdom. Midnite Europe Limited is incorporated under the laws of Malta, with Company Registration No.C90791, and registered address at Level 3 (suit 2327) Tower Business, Tower Street, Swatar Birkirkara BKR4013, Malta. Please play responsibly, for more information and advice visit: www.begambleaware.org or www.gamblingcare.ie

© 2026 Midnite. All rights reserved.