Premier League Winner Odds 2026/27

Last updated: 14/08/2026

Winning the Premier League once is hard enough. Doing it back to back has beaten better sides than most people remember, which is what makes Arsenal at 6/4 the most interesting price on the board rather than the most obvious one. They go into the season as champions, and behind them sit two clubs in their first season under a new manager and one that has just changed everything.

Odds correct as of 27 July 2026.

Premier League winner odds 2026/27

Head to our Premier League outrights to place your bet.

Who are the favourites to win the Premier League?

Arsenal at 6/4 is the shortest they've been in years and there's nothing complicated about it. They won the thing, most of that squad is still there, and nothing over the summer has given anyone a reason to price them longer.

What makes this season interesting is everything that's happened elsewhere. Manchester City at 11/4 go into the first campaign after Pep, with Bernardo Silva moved on and Enzo Maresca in the dugout, and we've all seen how that kind of change can go at a big club.

Maresca at least worked under Pep before and did a decent job at Chelsea, all things considered. But there's an uncertainty around City now that simply doesn't exist at Arsenal, and that's most of the gap between 6/4 and 11/4 right there.

Liverpool at 5/1 and Manchester United at 6/1 sit in the tier below and there isn't a great deal between them. Andoni Iraola did a fantastic job at Bournemouth, though a Liverpool dressing room full of big characters is a very different job to the one he's just left.

Michael Carrick is Manchester United through and through, and you'd argue United made more strides on the pitch last season than Liverpool did. Give him a good window and they could be up there and challenging.

Chelsea at 10/1 are still a bit of a circus, but Xabi Alonso is the reason to look twice. He was excellent at Leverkusen and was arguably dismissed unfairly at Real Madrid by a petulant dressing room. Get this lot under control and top four is well within reach.

From Tottenham at 20/1 downwards you're into clubs who'd need a season nobody is expecting. Aston Villa at 25/1 are the best-priced side with any recent top-four pedigree, and after that it's three figures and hoping.

Do Premier League title favourites usually win?

Less than half the time, which is more interesting than either of the answers people expect.

Across the nineteen seasons from 2003-04 to 2021-22 the pre-season favourite won the title eight times, and finished second on seven more occasions. Only once in that entire stretch did the favourite finish outside the top three, and that was Chelsea in 2015-16, who managed tenth the season after winning the thing. So the market gets it right more often than any single alternative pick you could make, and still gets it wrong most years, and both halves of that sentence are true at the same time.

The pre-season favourites, season by season

Five from eight in that window. Note how short some of those prices were: a 4/6 favourite winning tells you the market read the season correctly, and it also tells you the market wasn't offering much for agreeing with it.

The longest-priced Premier League title winners

Leicester City were 5000/1 before the 2015-16 season and won it. It's the most famous price in English football and it's famous precisely because nothing remotely like it had happened before or has happened since.

The next-longest winners are a long way back. Chelsea in 2016-17 and Manchester United in 2006-07 both went into the season at 11/2. That's the honest scale of it: outside Leicester, a Premier League title has never been won from a genuinely long price.

How Premier League title betting works

The outright winner market pays out on one club, the one that finishes top. There's no place element unless a market is explicitly offered each way, and outright winner usually isn't. Check the terms on the market itself rather than assuming, and our each-way explainer covers how place terms settle where they do apply.

Prices move all season. A club going eight games unbeaten shortens, an injury to a key player drifts, and the market reprices after almost every round once the table starts to mean something. What you're taking in July is a price on incomplete information, and that cuts both ways.

A price is the market's assessment, not a forecast and not a percentage. Only one club wins the league, and the prices across all twenty cover more than that single outcome, because each one carries the book's margin. Our odds explainer goes through the arithmetic properly.

The market settles on the final league table after the last round of fixtures, which for 2026/27 falls at the end of May.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favourite to win the Premier League?

Arsenal are the current favourites at 6/4, ahead of Manchester City at 11/4 and Liverpool at 5/1. Odds correct as of 27 July 2026.

What are the current Premier League odds?

The full twenty-club winner market is in the table above, running from Arsenal at 6/4 out to Ipswich and Hull at 1000/1. Live prices for the title, relegation, top four and top six markets sit on the Premier League outrights page.

Did anyone bet on Leicester at 5000/1?

Leicester City were priced at 5000/1 to win the Premier League before the 2015-16 season and went on to win it. A handful of bets were placed at that price and reported at the time. It remains the single most famous outlier in English football betting precisely because nothing like it had happened before or has happened since.

What are Manchester United's odds to win the Premier League?

Manchester United are 6/1 to win the Premier League in 2026/27, fourth in the market behind Arsenal, Manchester City and Liverpool. Odds correct as of 27 July 2026.

What are Everton's odds to win the Premier League?

Everton are 250/1 to win the Premier League in 2026/27, level with Brentford. Odds correct as of 27 July 2026.

What are the odds for the Premier League in the 2026-27 season?

Arsenal are 6/4 favourites, Manchester City are 11/4 and Liverpool are 5/1. Prices for all twenty clubs are in the table above and were correct as of 27 July 2026.

Premier League winner odds at Midnite

Every club in the division is priced on the Premier League outrights page, alongside relegation, top four, top six and top ten.

A title bet placed in July doesn't settle until the last weekend of May, so treat the stake as money you're parting with for the season rather than money you're moving around. Deposit limits, reality checks and time-outs are all in your account settings, and the Responsible Play page explains what each of them does. 18+, please gamble responsibly. Midnite is licensed and regulated by the Great Britain Gambling Commission.

About the author

Ben Cullen is Head of Risk at Midnite, where he leads the team that prices the markets and manages the sportsbook's exposure. He has spent 12 years in trading and risk, previously at Ladbrokes Coral, ComeOn and KingMakers. He writes here on how betting markets are actually built, priced and settled. Connect with Ben on LinkedIn.