Championship Relegation Odds 2026/27

Last updated: 28/07/2026

Relegation from the Championship usually comes for the clubs who've only just arrived, and the market has wasted no time saying so this year. All three sides who came up from League One in May sit near the top of it, led by Lincoln at 8/11 in their first season back in the second tier since 1961.

Three go down to League One in May. No play-off, no reprieve, no consolation. Below we'll go through who's fancied to fill those three places, why the points total everyone asks about doesn't really exist, and what a relegation bet actually settles on.

Odds correct as of 27 July 2026.

Championship relegation odds 2026/27

Head to our Championship outrights to place your bet.

Who are the favourites to be relegated from the Championship?

Lincoln at 8/11 is a strange price for a side nobody in League One looked like beating through the back half of last season. They were fantastic, and they won the thing at a canter.

The trouble is that fantastic in League One and fantastic in the Championship are two different jobs. They'll break their transfer record a few times this summer and there'll still be an enormous gulf between their budget and most of this division's. Ten games in, we'll know.

Cardiff at 11/8 is the price that starts an argument. They were very good for most of last season and then faltered at exactly the wrong moment, which let Lincoln nip in and nick the title fairly convincingly in the end.

They're a shadow of the club that was in the Premier League not so long ago, with a lot of young lads in the side now, and how quickly those lads take to this level is basically their whole season. Bolton at 5/4 completed the promoted three through the play-offs, seven years after they last saw this division.

The clubs who've been here a while are the ones who ought to be more worried. Charlton are 5/4 in only their second season back. Preston at 4/1 haven't looked like troubling the play-offs for years now and have settled into being distinctly mid-table, while Blackburn at 9/2 have struggled and flirted with the drop more than once. It wouldn't take much for either.

West Brom at 14/1 finished 21st last time out, which is one place and not very many points clear of where nobody wants to be.

Then look right to the bottom and you'll find Wolves and West Ham at 80/1, the two longest prices on the board. Relegated from the Premier League in May, and by August nobody expects them to go anywhere. That's what parachute money buys you.

How many points do you need to stay up in the Championship?

This is the question everyone circles and nobody quite answers, and the honest reason is there isn't a number to give you.

Survival usually lands somewhere in the low fifties. But clubs have gone down with more than that and stayed up with fewer, because it depends entirely on how the bottom of a particular season shakes out. Six clubs scrapping over the same few points is a very different year from three of them falling away by Christmas.

The target moves anyway, because this division does points deductions like no other.

How Championship relegation works

Three clubs go down to League One and there's no second chance about it. Bottom three on the final day, and that's your season.

Last year showed exactly how far a deduction can shift things. Sheffield Wednesday were docked twelve points in October 2025 after going into administration, then another six that December for breaches of the rules on paying people.

Eighteen points is too big a hole for anyone. On 22 February 2026, with thirteen games still to play, Wednesday became the first club in the history of the Football League to be relegated in February. [Sources: ESPN and RTE, both 22 February 2026.]

That's the extreme version of something that happens in some form most seasons, and it's worth remembering when you're looking at a market in July. A deduction handed down in November reprices the whole thing overnight, and no amount of pre-season reading sees it coming.

How Championship relegation betting works

Three bets sit close enough together to get muddled up. To be relegated pays out if a club finishes in the bottom three, wherever in those three they land. To finish bottom only pays on 24th place, which is why it's a longer price on the same club. And some bookies price up staying up, which is the first bet turned round the other way.

Worth knowing what a price is and isn't while you're looking at that table. It tells you how strongly a club's chances of going down are rated, and it isn't a percentage you can read straight off, because every price has the bookies' cut built into it. Ours included.

That's how bookies have always worked and how they pay for themselves, so treat a short price as a strong opinion rather than a number to take literally. Our odds explainer goes through how prices get put together.

Everything settles on final league position once the last round of fixtures is done.

Frequently asked questions

Who will be relegated from the Championship?

Nobody knows, which is the point of the market. Lincoln City are the current favourites at 8/11, followed by Charlton and Bolton at 5/4 and Cardiff City at 11/8. Prices correct as of 23 July 2026.

How many points do you need to avoid relegation from the Championship?

There's no fixed figure. Survival has usually taken a total in the low fifties, though points deductions and unusually tight seasons have moved it in both directions.

Has any team been relegated from the Championship with 50 points?

It's rare but it has happened, usually in seasons where the bottom half stayed unusually close together.

What are West Brom's relegation odds?

West Bromwich Albion are 14/1 to be relegated from the Championship in 2026/27, thirteenth in a 24-club market. Prices correct as of 23 July 2026.

How many teams get relegated from the Championship?

Three. The bottom three clubs at the end of the season drop into League One, and three come up from League One to replace them.

Championship relegation odds at Midnite

The full 24-club market sits on the Championship page, alongside promotion and outright winner. Prices there update as the market moves, and the table above tells you when this one was taken.

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About the author

Ben Cullen is Head of Risk at Midnite, where he leads the team that prices the markets and manages the sportsbook's exposure. He has spent 12 years in trading and risk, previously at Ladbrokes Coral, ComeOn and KingMakers. He writes here on how betting markets are actually built, priced and settled. Connect with Ben on LinkedIn.