Built Different Index

The Built Different Index: Average Rainfall X Win %

This is where the Built Different Index starts requiring a calculator and a waterproof notebook. The Rainfall vs Win Percentage factor combines regional annual rainfall with each club’s five-season average win rate.

By Callum Wilson

29 Jul 2026

The Rainfall vs Win Percentage factor combines regional annual rainfall with each club’s five-season average win rate. The formula is:


Rainfall × Win % = Built Different Score


In plain English, it measures the volume of rain conquered.


A strong win rate in a relatively dry part of the country earns a decent score. A strong win rate somewhere that seems to spend half the year under a weather warning earns a much bigger one. Rain alone is not enough, and neither is winning. You need both.


The ranking covers the 92 clubs competing across the Premier League and EFL in the 2025/26 season, using regional annual rainfall and a five-season average win percentage.


Rainfall Win Top of Table.png


Manchester City conquer the most rain

Manchester City top the table with a Rainfall Index of 676.26, based on roughly 867mm of annual rainfall and a five-season win rate of 78%.


The maths is doing exactly what it should here. Manchester is wet, City win constantly, and multiplying the two produces the highest score in the country.


They rise 23 places from their overall Built Different ranking.


This is not simply dominance. It is dominance conducted under a low grey ceiling, with the pitch slick and somebody in the front row wearing a plastic poncho.


Wrexham turn Welsh weather into second place

Wrexham come second with an index score of 650.00.


Their estimated rainfall is around 1,000mm, while their five-season win rate sits at 65%.


That lower win rate compared with Manchester City is offset by heavier rainfall. Which is the whole point of the factor: winning often is impressive, but winning often while the weather is making a committed effort to ruin everyone’s afternoon counts for more.


Wrexham rise 19 places from the overall table and finish above Liverpool despite winning less frequently.


Rain has entered the title race.


Liverpool complete the top three

Liverpool sit third with a Rainfall Index of 605.52, combining approximately 841mm of rain with a 72% win rate.


That is less rainfall and fewer wins than Manchester City, but still comfortably enough to leave most of the country behind.


Liverpool climb 16 places from their baseline ranking, which feels fitting for a club whose best football has often been played at high speed on a surface that looks freshly pressure-washed.


Plymouth are the clearest proof of the formula

Plymouth Argyle rank fourth with a score of 520.00, based on roughly 1,000mm of rain and a 52% win rate.


This is where the calculation becomes easier to understand.


Arsenal, for example, have a much higher win rate at 68%, but only around 620mm of annual rainfall, giving them a lower score of 421.60 and 14th place.


Plymouth win less often, but they do it in far wetter conditions.


The table is not asking who wins the most. It is asking who gets the most winning done while being rained on.


Oldham are the biggest risers

The biggest jump belongs to Oldham Athletic, who climb 75 places from 88th overall to 13th.


Their Rainfall Index is 427.50, created by approximately 950mm of rain and a 45% win rate.


A 45% win rate would not usually threaten the top end of any national ranking. Add North West rainfall, though, and suddenly Oldham are mixing with Arsenal and Aston Villa.


This is the Built Different Index at its best: taking something fairly ordinary, adding weather, and producing an argument nobody knew they needed.


Notts County make dry-weather efficiency count

Notts County rise 69 places to 17th, with an index score of 411.80.


They receive only around 710mm of rain, but a strong 58% win rate keeps them high.


That makes them an interesting contrast with clubs such as Barrow, who get much more rain but win less often. Barrow’s 1,000mm and 42% win rate produce a slightly higher score of 420.00.


One club leans on results.


The other leans on precipitation.


Both end up in roughly the same place.


Burnley prove rain cannot do all the work

Burnley receive approximately 1,024mm of annual rainfall, one of the highest figures in the table.


Their five-season win rate, however, is 28%, leaving them 58th with an index score of 286.72.


This is an important part of the formula. Being wet is not an achievement by itself.


You have to win as well. Otherwise, it is just a miserable afternoon.


Rainfall Win Bottom of Table.png


Cambridge are dry and not winning enough

At the bottom end, Cambridge United rank 90th with an index score of 220.40.


They combine around 580mm of annual rainfall, the lowest figure shown in the table, with a 38% win rate.


There is no multiplier rescue here. Cambridge do not receive enough rain to compensate for a modest win percentage, so they remain near the bottom.


Reasonable weather. Reasonable results. Terrible for this particular ranking.


Fulham finish second-bottom

Fulham sit 91st with a score of 217.00, based on approximately 620mm of rain and a 35% win rate.


They fall 44 places from their overall position.


London is relatively dry by the standards of this index, so a lower win rate gets exposed quickly. There is simply not enough weather available to inflate the score.


Fulham needed more wins, more rain or ideally both.


Sunderland finish last

At the bottom are Sunderland, whose score of 182.00 comes from roughly 650mm of annual rainfall and a five-season win rate of 28%.


They drop 74 places, the biggest fall in the factor.


The rainfall is not especially low, but the win rate leaves it with very little to multiply.


That is the cruel simplicity of the formula. You can have difficult conditions, but unless you beat someone in them, the Index is unmoved.


What the table tells us

Manchester City top the ranking because they combine heavy North West rainfall with an extraordinary win rate. Wrexham come close because the weather is worse, even if the results are slightly less relentless. Liverpool remain firmly in the downpour-chasing pack.


At the other end, Cambridge, Fulham and Sunderland lack the right mixture. Some are too dry, some do not win enough, and Sunderland manage to get caught between both problems.


This factor does not measure who plays the best football.


It measures who has won the most while the sky is actively trying to stop them.


A completely unnecessary calculation.


Which is exactly why it belongs here.


The Full Table

Rank
Club
League
Rainfall Index
Annual Rainfall
Five-Season Win Rate
Region
1
Manchester City
Premier League
676.26
867 mm
78%
North West
2
Wrexham
Championship
650.00
1,000 mm
65%
Wales
3
Liverpool
Premier League
605.52
841 mm
72%
North West
4
Plymouth Argyle
League One
520.00
1,000 mm
52%
South West
5
Manchester United
Premier League
502.86
867 mm
58%
North West
6
Stockport County
League One
498.80
860 mm
58%
North West
7
Bolton Wanderers
League One
495.00
900 mm
55%
North West
8
Swansea City
Championship
441.00
1,050 mm
42%
Wales
9
Blackpool
League One
441.00
980 mm
45%
North West
10
Newport County
League Two
440.00
1,100 mm
40%
Wales
11
Cardiff City
League One
437.00
1,150 mm
38%
Wales
12
Aston Villa
Premier League
435.24
806 mm
54%
Midlands
13
Oldham Athletic
League Two
427.50
950 mm
45%
North West
14
Arsenal
Premier League
421.60
620 mm
68%
London/South East
15
Barrow
League Two
420.00
1,000 mm
42%
North West
16
Chesterfield
League Two
412.50
750 mm
55%
East Midlands
17
Notts County
League Two
411.80
710 mm
58%
East Midlands
18
Blackburn Rovers
Championship
411.60
980 mm
42%
North West
19
Preston North End
Championship
400.00
1,000 mm
40%
North West
20
Salford City
League Two
378.40
860 mm
44%
North West
21
Mansfield Town
League One
364.00
700 mm
52%
Midlands
22
Accrington Stanley
League Two
361.00
950 mm
38%
North West
23
Portsmouth
Championship
360.00
750 mm
48%
South Coast
24
Sheffield United
Championship
360.00
750 mm
48%
Yorkshire
25
Tottenham Hotspur
Premier League
359.60
620 mm
58%
London/South East
26
Tranmere Rovers
League Two
352.80
840 mm
42%
North West
27
Newcastle United
Premier League
351.00
650 mm
54%
North East
28
Exeter City
League One
340.00
850 mm
40%
South West
29
Bristol Rovers
League Two
340.00
850 mm
40%
South West
30
Bradford City
League One
337.50
750 mm
45%
Yorkshire
31
Barnsley
League One
336.00
700 mm
48%
Yorkshire
32
Ipswich Town
Championship
330.00
600 mm
55%
East of England
33
Crawley Town
League Two
330.00
750 mm
44%
South East
34
Wigan Athletic
League One
326.80
860 mm
38%
North West
35
West Bromwich Albion
Championship
324.00
720 mm
45%
Midlands
36
Bristol City
Championship
323.00
850 mm
38%
South West
37
Barnet
League Two
322.40
620 mm
52%
London
38
Coventry City
Championship
319.50
710 mm
45%
Midlands
39
Derby County
Championship
319.50
710 mm
45%
Midlands
40
Fleetwood Town
League Two
316.80
880 mm
36%
North West
41
Southampton
Championship
312.00
780 mm
40%
South Coast
42
Middlesbrough
Championship
312.00
650 mm
48%
North East
43
Wycombe Wanderers
League One
312.00
650 mm
48%
South East
44
Milton Keynes Dons
League Two
312.00
650 mm
48%
South East
45
Bromley
League Two
310.00
620 mm
50%
London
46
Leicester City
Championship
306.00
680 mm
45%
Midlands
47
Brighton & Hove Albion
Premier League
303.24
722 mm
42%
South Coast
48
Bournemouth
Premier League
300.60
835 mm
36%
South Coast
49
Sheffield Wednesday
Championship
300.00
750 mm
40%
Yorkshire
50
Peterborough United
League One
300.00
600 mm
50%
East of England
51
Crewe Alexandra
League Two
300.00
750 mm
40%
North West / Midlands
52
Chelsea
Premier League
297.60
620 mm
48%
London/South East
53
Leyton Orient
League One
297.60
620 mm
48%
London
54
Huddersfield Town
League One
297.50
850 mm
35%
Yorkshire
55
Stoke City
Championship
296.40
780 mm
38%
Midlands
56
Doncaster Rovers
League One
288.00
600 mm
48%
Yorkshire
57
Swindon Town
League Two
288.00
720 mm
40%
South West
58
Burnley
Premier League
286.72
1,024 mm
28%
North West
59
Everton
Premier League
285.94
841 mm
34%
North West
60
Cheltenham Town
League Two
285.00
750 mm
38%
South West
61
Norwich City
Championship
279.00
620 mm
45%
East of England
62
Stevenage
League One
276.00
600 mm
46%
South East
63
Walsall
League Two
273.60
720 mm
38%
West Midlands
64
Oxford United
Championship
273.00
650 mm
42%
South East
65
Port Vale
League One
273.00
780 mm
35%
Midlands
66
Luton Town
League One
273.00
650 mm
42%
South East
67
Northampton Town
League One
273.00
650 mm
42%
Midlands
68
Gillingham
League Two
273.00
650 mm
42%
South East
69
Millwall
Championship
272.80
620 mm
44%
London
70
Lincoln City
League One
270.00
600 mm
45%
Midlands
71
Watford
Championship
268.80
640 mm
42%
East/London Border
72
Hull City
Championship
266.00
700 mm
38%
Yorkshire
73
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Premier League
265.98
806 mm
33%
Midlands
74
West Ham United
Premier League
260.40
620 mm
42%
London/South East
75
Reading
League One
260.00
650 mm
40%
South East
76
Rotherham United
League One
260.00
650 mm
40%
Yorkshire
77
Grimsby Town
League Two
260.00
650 mm
40%
Yorkshire/Humber
78
Birmingham City
Championship
252.00
720 mm
35%
Midlands
79
Charlton Athletic
Championship
248.00
620 mm
40%
London
80
Burton Albion
League One
245.00
700 mm
35%
Midlands
81
Harrogate Town
League Two
245.00
700 mm
35%
Yorkshire
82
Shrewsbury Town
League Two
245.00
700 mm
35%
West Midlands
83
Nottingham Forest
Premier League
241.40
710 mm
34%
Midlands
84
Brentford
Premier League
235.60
620 mm
38%
London/South East
85
AFC Wimbledon
League One
235.60
620 mm
38%
London
86
Colchester United
League Two
228.00
600 mm
38%
East of England
87
Leeds United
Premier League
224.00
700 mm
32%
Yorkshire
88
Crystal Palace
Premier League
223.20
620 mm
36%
London/South East
89
Queens Park Rangers
Championship
223.20
620 mm
36%
London
90
Cambridge United
League Two
220.40
580 mm
38%
East of England
91
Fulham
Premier League
217.00
620 mm
35%
London/South East
92
Sunderland
Premier League
182.00
650 mm
28%
North East
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